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Physical function and MRI scores predict flares at 6 and 12 months following the end of treatment with abatacept among patients with early rheumatoid arthritis in remission, according to data published in Arthritis Research & Therapy.
“Achieving remission in patients with RA without the continued use of therapy is a key treatment goal,” Harris Ahmad, MD, senior medical director at WW Medical Affairs at Bristol Myers Squibb, and study co-author, told Healio. “While studies have demonstrated this is possible, this study investigates what factors or measures could predict loss of remission in patients in remission after withdrawing therapy.”
Ahmad and colleagues conducted a post hoc analysis of the AVERT study, investigating abatacept (Orencia, Bristol Myers Squibb)
in patients with early RA. The analysis examined predictors of disease flare at withdrawal plus 6 months and withdrawal plus 12 months with DAS28. The study investigated predictors including the Health Assessment Questionnaire–Disability Index (HAQ-DI), pain, Patient Global Assessment, MRI synovitis, erosion, bone edema and combined — synovitis plus bone edema — inflammation scores.
To be included in the analysis, patients needed to achieve DAS28-based remission at 12 months and enter a 12-month withdrawal period with no treatment with abatacept.
Among the 172 patients who achieved DAS28-defined remission at withdrawal, 100 experienced a flare by withdrawal plus 6 months, the researchers wrote. Meanwhile, a total of 113 patients experienced a flare by 12 months.
Higher Health Assessment Questionnaire-Disability Index scores, MRI synovitis, erosion, bone edema and combined inflammation scores at withdrawal were identified as potential flare predictors in a univariate analysis (P .01), the researchers wrote. In a multivariate analysis, higher Health Assessment Questionnaire-Disability Index scores and MRI erosion were confirmed as independent predictors of flares at withdrawal plus 6 and 12 months (P < .01).
“The take-home message for rheumatologists is that clinical measures, such as MRI and functional status, are available to aid in assessing and predicting which patients in remission may flare following a decision to withdraw therapy takes place,” Ahmad said.
The small sample size and the fact that the included patients represent only a small group of total patients within the AVERT trial were noted as potential limitations of the study.
“As this study was conducted in patients with early RA , future studies will be needed to confirm whether the cut-off scores tested here would also predict disease flare in other RA populations or following the withdrawal or tapering of [biologic DMARDs] other than abatacept,” the researchers wrote.