Fact checked byKristen Dowd

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July 11, 2023
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3-year wildfire smoke exposure raises all-cause, nonaccidental, neoplasm mortality risk

Fact checked byKristen Dowd
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Key takeaways:

  • Increases in wildfire-related fine particulate matter corresponded to heightened mortality risks.
  • More studies on the impact of long-term exposure to wildfire pollution are needed.
Perspective from Albert Rizzo, MD, FACP

Risk for all-cause, nonaccidental and neoplasm mortality was heightened with exposure to elevated levels of wildfire-related fine particulate matter, according to study results published in the Journal of Hazardous Materials.

“Given the recent levels in North America caused by the Canadian wildfires, our study linking long-term exposure to wildfire-related PM2.5 and mortality suggest[s] that further research is urgently needed to provide more scientific evidence on this topic,” Shanshan Li, PhD, associate professor at the School of Public Health and Preventive Medicine at Monash University, said in a university press release.

Infographic showing risk for mortality with a 10 μg/m3 rise in wildfire-related PM2.5
Data were derived from Gao Y, et al. J Hazard Mater. 2023;doi:10.1016/j.jhazmat.2023.131779.

In a longitudinal analysis, Li and colleagues evaluated 492,394 adults (mean age, 56.5 years; 45.5% men; 88.4% white) aged 38 to 73 years from the UK Biobank to understand how long-term exposure (3 years) to wildfire related PM2.5 impacts mortality.

Using participants’ home addresses, researchers captured their exposure to wildfire-related PM2.5 that was within 10 km of their house. In this cohort, 457.3 g/m3 (standard deviation, 42.8 g/m3) was the 3-year average concentration, and 459.7 g/m3 was the median concentration.

To calculate mortality risk, time-varying Cox regression models were used, which were adjusted for several potential covariates: age, sex, ethnicity, education, employment status, BMI, average total household income, non-wildfire PM2.5, smoking status, alcohol drinking status and Townsend Deprivation Index.

Researchers observed an average follow-up period of 11.2 years, during which 27,080 individuals died.

According to researchers, a 0.4% increased risk for both all-cause mortality (adjusted HR = 1.004; 95% CI, 1.001-1.006) and nonaccidental mortality (aHR = 1.004; 95% CI, 1.002-1.006) occurred with each 10 g/m3 rise in wildfire-related pollution.

Exposure to this type of pollution was also linked to a 0.5% heightened risk for neoplasm death (aHR = 1.005; 95% CI, 1.002-1.008) with each increase by 10 g/m3.

When assessing the impact of exposure to this type of PM2.5 on death due to a cardiovascular, respiratory or mental disease, researchers did not observe any significant relationships in the adjusted models.

Researchers also evaluated every covariate, except non-wildfire PM2.5, as modifiers, and found that none of them had modification effects on the relationship between wildfire-related PM2.5 exposure and all-cause mortality.

“Our findings provide scientific evidence on long-term impacts of wildfire-related PM2.5 exposure on mortality in the U.K., which will be of vital importance for developing better health response plan[s] and targeting health intervention strategies from wildfire-related PM2.5 exposure,” Li and colleagues wrote.

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