September 30, 2015
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Gene assay identifies women who can be spared chemotherapy for breast cancer

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A 21-gene expression assay accurately identified women with ER-positive, HER-2–negative, axillary node-negative breast cancer who had a low risk for 5-year recurrence, according to the results of a prospective trial presented at European Society of Medical Oncology’s European Cancer Congress.

Perspective from Andrew D. Seidman, MD

Based on results of the 21-gene recurrence score (Oncotype Dx Recurrence Score, Genomic Health), these women may safely receive endocrine therapy alone without chemotherapy, according to the researchers.

“The compelling results seen in this global study provide unequivocal evidence supporting the clinical utility of Oncotype DX to risk stratify patients with early-stage breast cancer, and indicate that the findings are generalizable to every day clinical practice,” Joseph A. Sparano, MD, professor of medicine and obstetrics, gynecology and women’s health at Albert Einstein College of Medicine and vice-chairman of medical oncology at Montefiore Einstein Center for Cancer Care in New York, said in a press release. “The findings provide the highest level of evidence supporting expert-derived clinical practice guidelines which have recommended Oncotype DX in patients with early-stage ER-positive breast cancer.”

Many women with ER-positive breast cancer may be overtreated with chemotherapy because they may be adequately treated with endocrine therapy alone. Earlier studies have shown that gene expression assays provide clinically useful prognostic information to predict benefit from adjuvant chemotherapy, according to study background.

Thus, Sparano and colleagues conducted a prospective trial of women with ER-positive, HER-2–negative, axillary node-negative breast cancer who had tumors between 1.1 cm and 5 cm in the greatest dimension who met established guidelines for adjuvant chemotherapy receipt based on clinicopathologic features.

Researchers calculated a risk score for recurrence based on a reverse-transcriptase–polymerase-chain-reaction assay of 21 genes on paraffin-embedded tumor tissue. The researchers assigned women with a recurrence score between 0 and 10 — indicating a very low risk for recurrence — to endocrine therapy alone.

A time-to-event analysis of the rate of survival free from invasive cancer served as the primary endpoint. Freedom from recurrence of breast cancer at a distant site, freedom from any recurrence and OS served as secondary endpoints.

The trial included 10,253 eligible women, of whom 15.9% (n = 1,626; median age, 58 years) were assigned to endocrine therapy alone based on recurrence score.

Endocrine therapy modalities included aromatase inhibition (n = 963; 59%), tamoxifen (n = 560; 34%), sequential tamoxifen followed by aromatase inhibition (n = 13; 1%), ovarian-function suppression (n = 44; 3%) and other therapies (n = 46; 3%).

The median follow-up in this cohort was 69 months.

Results — simultaneously published in The New England Journal of Medicine — showed 93.8% (95% CI, 92.4-94.9) of women with a low recurrence score achieved 5-year invasive DFS. The rate of freedom from recurrence at a distant site was 99.3% (95% CI, 98.7-99.6) and the rate of freedom from recurrence at a distant or locoregional site was 98.7% (95% CI, 97.9-99.2).

Ninety-eight percent (95% CI, 97.1-98.6) of the cohort achieved 5-year OS. Death or progression to invasive cancer occurred in 88 women, with 30 deaths reported within 5 years of study entry.

In a multivariate analysis that included age (≤ 50 years vs. 51 to 60 years vs. 61 to 75 years), tumor size (2.1 cm to 5 cm vs. ≤ 2 cm in the greatest dimension), histologic grade (high vs. intermediate vs. low) and surgery type (mastectomy vs. lumpectomy), only histologic grade appeared significantly associated with freedom from recurrence. However, histologic grade did not appear associated with rate of invasive DFS or freedom from distant recurrence.

“The risk of developing a second primary cancer was about three-fold greater than having a recurrence of the original breast cancer, but we wouldn’t expect chemotherapy to prevent these cancers from developing,” Sparano said. “Further follow-up of the trial is ongoing to determine whether chemotherapy may also be effectively spared in patients who have a mid-range Recurrence Score between 11 and 25.”

Despite positive study findings, questions remain concerning cost and availability of the assay, Clifford A. Hudis, MD, chief of breast medicine service, vice president for government relations and chief advocacy officer at Memorial Sloan Kettering Cancer Center, wrote in an accompanying editorial.

“This multigene assay is unlikely to be the only test that can provide a prediction of chemotherapy benefit,” Hudis wrote. “A less expensive and broadly distributed test would be valuable globally. For now, however, this assay is the most rigorously tested option and provides proof of the principle that we can develop reproducible predictive tests to select patients who should not receive chemotherapy.” – by Cameron Kelsall

Disclosure: The NCI provided funding for this study. Sparano reports grant support from the NCI during the conduct of this study, as well as a patent related to tests to predict responsiveness of patients with cancer to chemotherapy treatment options. Please see the full study for a list of all other researchers’ relevant financial disclosures. Hudis reports grant support from Genomic Health.