February 26, 2013
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Incidence of advanced breast cancer increased among younger women

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The incidence of advanced breast cancer among women aged 25 to 39 years increased at a small but statistically significant rate during the past 3 decades, according to study results.

Perspective from Stephen Y. Chui, MD

Researchers did not observe a corresponding increase in older women.

Breast cancer is the most common malignant tumor in females aged 15 to 39 years, and it accounts for 14% of all cancer in that age group. Young women with breast cancer tend to present with more aggressive disease and have lower survival rates than older women, according to background information in the study.

Rebecca Johnson, MD 

Rebecca H. Johnson

Based on a clinical impression that more young women are being diagnosed with advanced disease, Rebecca H. Johnson, MD, medical director of the adolescent and young adult oncology program at Seattle Children’s Hospital, and colleagues analyzed data from three SEER registries to identify national trends in breast cancer incidence.

Incidence of distant disease breast cancer among women aged 25 to 39 years increased from 1.53 per 100,000 in 1976 (95% CI, 1.01-2.21) to 2.9 per 100,000 in 2009 (95% CI, 2.31-3.59), an absolute difference of 1.37 per 100,000, Johnson and colleagues found. The change represents an average compounded increase of 2.07% per year (95% CI, 1.57-2.58) during the study period.

Researchers observed the trend among all races and ethnicities, including statistically significant increases among blacks and non-Hispanic whites. Incidence increased more among women with ER-positive subtypes than ER-negative subtypes.

“The trajectory of the incidence trend predicts that an increasing number of young women in the United States will present with metastatic breast cancer in an age group that already has the worst prognosis, no recommended routine screening practice, the least health insurance and the most potential years of life,” Johnson and colleagues wrote.

The data did not show increased incidence of locoregional breast cancer among young women or increased incidence of breast cancer — regardless of disease stage — among older women.

Five-year breast cancer survival rates as a function of age are lowest among women aged 20 to 34 years, according to the researchers. SEER data show 5-year survival among women aged 25 to 39 years with distant disease is about 31% vs. 87% for women with locoregional disease.

“Whatever the causes — and likely there are more than one — the evidence we observed … will require corroboration and may be best confirmed by data from other countries,” Johnson and colleagues wrote. “If verified, the increase is particularly concerning, because young age itself is an independent adverse prognostic factor for breast cancer.”