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U.K. demographic change likely to most affect ophthalmology, cardiology

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LONDON — Population changes over the next 20 years will substantially increase the cost of doctors' services, according to a news item in BMJ (formerly the British Medical Journal).

Based on a report published in the Journal of Health Economics, Roger Dobson noted increases in per capita costs for physician services for the first 20 years ranged from 6% in Norway to 12% in Japan. Aggregate costs ranged from 6% in Italy to 28% in Australia. Effects on individual specialties will differ markedly, Mr. Dobson added.

Ophthalmology and thoracic and cardiovascular surgery are at one end of the extreme, with projected increases in excess of 100%, Mr. Dobson noted.