Predictions show number of patients on dialysis in China to increase through 2025
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An analysis of medical claims data in China showed an increasing number of individuals were treated with dialysis between 2013 and 2017, and that further increases are expected through 2025.
“China has the largest population in the world and chronic kidney disease (CKD) is prevalent in the country,” Chao Yang, MS, of Peking University First Hospital, Peking University Institute of Nephrology in Beijing, and colleagues wrote. “Profound societal and environmental change has shifted the spectrum of CKD toward patterns similar to those of developed countries, which may lead to a growing burden of kidney failure in China.”
Contending the national prevalence of patients receiving dialysis has not been well-studied, the researchers sought to examine trends “to provide evidence for developing prevention strategies.”
The analysis revealed the age- and sex-standardized prevalence of patients on dialysis increased from 255.11 per million population (PMP) in 2013 to 419.39 PMP in 2017.
In 2017, researchers estimated the total of patients receiving dialysis to be 581,273, with the prevalence of patients on hemodialysis being 384.41 PMP and the prevalence of patients on peritoneal dialysis being 34.98 PMP.
Predictions suggested the prevalence of dialysis will rise beyond 2017 levels to a rate of 534.60 PMP in 2020 and 629.67 PMP in 2025 (744,817 and 874,373 patients, respectively).
“Kidney failure has become an important public health problem in China,” Yang and colleagues concluded of the findings. “With acceleration of population aging and rapidly rising diabetes and hypertension, which are proved to be drivers of CKD, the prevalence of dialysis patients will increase in the future and needs to receive attention.”