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January 29, 2020
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Low-dose CT screening linked to reduced lung cancer mortality among current, former smokers

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Low-dose, volume-based CT screening appeared associated with reduced lung cancer mortality compared with no screening among individuals at high risk for the disease, according to results of the randomized NELSON trial published in The New England Journal of Medicine.

Additionally, researchers observed low rates of follow-up procedures for results suggestive of lung cancer.

“The NELSON trial showed that volume CT lung cancer screening, with low rates of follow-up procedures for test results suggestive of lung cancer, resulted in substantially lower lung cancer mortality than no screening among high-risk persons,” Harry J. de Koning, MD, PhD, researcher in the department of public health at Erasmus Medical Center in the Netherlands, and colleagues wrote. “Volume CT screening enabled a significant reduction of harms without jeopardizing favorable outcomes.”

Limited data from randomized trials exist on the effect of volume-based, low-dose CT screening on lung cancer mortality among male former and current smokers.

CT scan equipment 
Researchers compared lung cancer mortality between the CT screening group and control group using the intention-to-screen principle
Source: Adobe

In the Dutch-Belgian NELSON trial, de Koning and colleagues sought to show a 25% or greater decrease in lung cancer mortality with the use of volume-based, low-dose CT screening among a population-based cohort of men at high risk for lung cancer.

For the primary analysis, researchers randomly assigned 13,195 men (median age, 58 years; median smoking history, 38 pack-years) to CT screening at baseline and intervals of 1, 2 and 2.5 years (n = 6,583) or no screening (n = 6,612). Nearly half (44.9%) of the men were former smokers.

Researchers also analyzed a subgroup of 2,594 women aged 50 to 74 years.

The investigators pooled data on cancer diagnosis and the date and cause of death through linkages with national registries in the Netherlands and Belgium. A review committee confirmed lung cancer as the cause of death, when possible.

For the primary analysis, researchers compared lung cancer mortality between the CT screening group and control group using the intention-to-screen principle. For the secondary analysis, investigators compared all-cause mortality and incidence of first recorded lung cancer diagnosis, death of lung cancer and death of any cause.

Minimum follow-up was 10 years.

Results of the primary analysis showed that among men, average adherence to CT screening was 90% (95% CI, 76.9-95.8). In addition, 9.2% of screened participants underwent at least one additional CT scan. Overall referral rate for suspicious nodules was 2.1%.

Researchers reported 10-year lung cancer incidence of 5.58 cases per 1,000 person-years in the CT screening group and 4.91 cases per 1,000 person-years in the control group.

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Lung cancer mortality incidence was 2.5 deaths per 1,000 person-years for the CT screening group vs. 3.3 deaths per 1,000 person-years for the control group. Researchers calculated a 10-year cumulative rate-ratio for lung cancer death of 0.76 (95% CI, 0.61-0.94) in the CT screening group compared with the control group.

Results of the subgroup analyses among women showed a cumulative rate ratio for lung cancer death of 0.67 (95% CI, 0.38-1.14) at 10 years, 0.52 (95% CI, 0.28-0.94) at 9 years, 0.41 (95% CI, 0.19-0.84) at 8 years and 0.46 (95% CI, 0.21-0.96) at 7 years.

“In the small subset of women, the effects of screening on lung cancer mortality were consistently more favorable,” the researchers wrote. “More research is required in women, as well as in other subgroups.”

Low-dose CT screening has been adopted as policy in the U.S. following publication of the first mortality results from the National Lung Screening Trial (NLST), which showed the intervention resulted in a 20% reduction in lung cancer mortality among those at high risk.

“Policy decisions are still awaited in many countries, despite the unequivocal nature of the original NLST results,” Stephen W. Duffy, MSc, researcher at Wolfson Institute of Preventive Medicine at Queen Mary University of London, and John K. Field, PhD, FRCP, researcher in the department of molecular and clinical cancer medicine at University of Liverpool, wrote in an accompanying editorial.

“With the NELSON results, the efficacy of low-dose CT screening for lung cancer is confirmed,” they wrote. “Our job is no longer to assess whether low-dose CT screening works — it does. Our job is to identify the target population in which it will be acceptable and cost-effective.” – by Jennifer Southall

Disclosures: De Koning reports research grants from European Research Council, NIH, TRANSCAN and Zorg Onderzoek Nederland. Please see the study for all other authors’ relevant financial disclosures. Duffy reports no relevant financial disclosures. Field reports advisory board roles with AstraZeneca, Epigenomics and NUCLEIX Ltd.; a speakers bureau role with AstraZeneca; and grants from Janssen Research & Development LLC, outside of the submitted wor.